Dev claim · claim-2168 · #33 of 154
“IPCC graph showing accelerating trends is misleading”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- acceler
- graph
- ipcc
- mislead
- show
- trend
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 60.8%
- Refutes
- 26.9%
- Not enough info
- 2.1%
- Disputed
- 10.1%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 52.9%
- Refutes
- 30.4%
- Not enough info
- 11.2%
- Disputed
- 5.5%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 61.2%
- Refutes
- 32.7%
- Not enough info
- 0.1%
- Disputed
- 5.9%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 1 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-877829 Reruns of the show were shown on MeTV until 2016.
- show (shared with the claim)
- shown
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.500
- score
- 1.500
- shared
- 1
#2evidence-352837 Pathology shows multifocal granulomatous folliculitis.
- show (shared with the claim)
- patholog
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.500
- score
- 1.500
- shared
- 1
#3evidence-687530 Flashbacks show how Ursula, Maleficent, and Cruella met.
- show (shared with the claim)
- met
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.500
- score
- 1.500
- shared
- 1
#4evidence-562190 Katie Howard in That 80s Show (2002)
- show (shared with the claim)
- kati
- howard
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.333
- score
- 1.333
- shared
- 1
#5evidence-787801 Purina Dog Chow was the show 's sponsor.
- show (shared with the claim)
- dog
- sponsor
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.333
- score
- 1.333
- shared
- 1
#6evidence-1176189 In 1883, he showed that infantile scurvy was identical with adult scurvy.
- adult
- show (shared with the claim)
- ident
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.333
- score
- 1.333
- shared
- 1
Gold evidence (1)
evidence-41418 The IPCC needs to look at this trend in the errors and ask why it happened".
- happen
- ask
- trend (shared with the claim)
- need
- look
- ipcc (shared with the claim)
- error