Dev claim · claim-540 · #42 of 154
“The heatwave we now have in Europe is not something that was expected with just 1C of warming”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- europ
- expect
- heatwav
- someth
- warm
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 53.6%
- Refutes
- 19.2%
- Not enough info
- 14.8%
- Disputed
- 12.4%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 48.7%
- Refutes
- 19.3%
- Not enough info
- 22.3%
- Disputed
- 9.7%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 46.3%
- Refutes
- 13.3%
- Not enough info
- 23.8%
- Disputed
- 16.6%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 5 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-517137 He served in the United States Army during World War II in Europe.
- europ (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 2.000
- shared
- 1
#2evidence-1157772 Out of 17 regions, the highest levels of freedom are in Western Europe, Northern Europe, and North America (Canada and the United States).
- freedom
- europ (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.500
- score
- 1.500
- shared
- 1
#3evidence-106943 Osmoderma eremita" (Coleoptera, Scarabaeidae, Cetoniinae) in Europe.
- europ (shared with the claim)
- محمد
- cos
- 0.918
- overlap
- 0.500
- score
- 1.418
- shared
- 1
#4evidence-260957 Gumshoe is a video game developed and published by Nintendo for the NES and released in 1986 in North America and in 1988 in Europe.
- nintendo
- europ (shared with the claim)
- ne
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.333
- score
- 1.333
- shared
- 1
#5evidence-429520 Europe (1) : Alexandre Dinerchtein
- europ (shared with the claim)
- محمد
- alexandr
- cos
- 0.918
- overlap
- 0.333
- score
- 1.252
- shared
- 1
#6evidence-1140312 Chthonius ischnocheles ischnocheles (Hermann, 1804) -- Europe, U.S.
- محمد
- europ (shared with the claim)
- hermann
- cos
- 0.918
- overlap
- 0.333
- score
- 1.252
- shared
- 1
Gold evidence (5)
evidence-353209 Ruse, Bulgaria hit 36.6 °C (97.9 °F) on the 13th making it the warmest spot in Europe.
- spot
- make
- europ (shared with the claim)
- warmest
- hit
- bulgaria
evidence-1194725 A heat wave started in Moscow on the 27 June, as temperatures reached 33.1 °C (91.6 °F), and stayed around 30 °C (90 °F) for the rest of the week.
- heat
- reach
- rest
- around
- moscow
- temperatur
- wave
- stay
- week
evidence-1067217 2018's temperature was 16.1 °C (61.0 °F), meaning it ranks as the 18th warmest June recorded in England in the past 359 years, also being the warmest since 1976.
- june
- past
- england
- temperatur
- mean
- warmest
- sinc
- rank
evidence-556258 June 2019 was the hottest month on record worldwide, the effects of this were especially prominent in Europe.
- month
- june
- hottest
- europ (shared with the claim)
- effect
- especi
- promin
- worldwid
- record
evidence-119750 The effects of climate change have been projected to make heat waves in places such as Europe up to five times more likely to occur.
- heat
- europ (shared with the claim)
- effect
- wave
- occur