Dev claim · claim-3075 · #102 of 154
“Multiple lines of evidence indicate Greenland's ice loss is accelerating and will contribute sea level rise in the order of metres over the next few centuries.”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- acceler
- centuri
- contribut
- evid
- greenland
- ice
- indic
- level
- line
- loss
- metr
- multipl
- next
- order
- rise
- sea
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 62.2%
- Refutes
- 29.5%
- Not enough info
- 0.7%
- Disputed
- 7.6%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 54.5%
- Refutes
- 33.9%
- Not enough info
- 7.2%
- Disputed
- 4.4%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 58.6%
- Refutes
- 18.2%
- Not enough info
- 9.4%
- Disputed
- 13.8%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 3 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-639299 Over the 21st century, this is expected to rise, with glaciers contributing 7 to 24 cm (3 to 9 in) to global sea levels.
- contribut (shared with the claim)
- level (shared with the claim)
- glacier
- sea (shared with the claim)
- expect
- centuri (shared with the claim)
- rise (shared with the claim)
- global
- cm
- cos
- 0.606
- overlap
- 0.556
- score
- 1.162
- shared
- 5
Gold evidence (3)
evidence-59240 The glaciers of Greenland are also contributing to a rise in the global sea level faster than was previously believed.
- contribut (shared with the claim)
- glacier
- believ
- sea (shared with the claim)
- faster
- rise (shared with the claim)
- greenland (shared with the claim)
- global
evidence-391045 Estimates on future contribution to sea level rise from Greenland range from 0.3 to 3 metres (1 to 10 ft), for the year 2100.
- ft
- futur
- metr (shared with the claim)
- rise (shared with the claim)
- greenland (shared with the claim)
- estim
evidence-123917 The contribution of the Greenland ice sheet on sea level over the next couple of centuries can be very high due to a self-reinforcing cycle (a so-called positive feedback).
- coupl
- sheet
- feedback
- reinforc
- greenland (shared with the claim)