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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-2593 · #38 of 154

“[T]he study indicates “Greenland’s ice may be less susceptible to the massive meltdown predicted by computer models of climate change, the main author ... said in an interview. ...”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • author
  • chang
  • climat
  • comput
  • greenland
  • ice
  • indic
  • interview
  • less
  • main
  • massiv
  • may
  • meltdown
  • model
  • predict
  • said
  • studi
  • suscept

Annotators’ label

Refutes Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Not enough info✗ differs from the label
Supports
9.3%
Refutes
1.9%
Not enough info
85.9%
Disputed
3.0%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Not enough info✗ differs from the label
Supports
9.9%
Refutes
1.4%
Not enough info
77.0%
Disputed
11.7%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
63.9%
Refutes
24.7%
Not enough info
1.0%
Disputed
10.4%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 2 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-230078

    The work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) represents the consensus of the international scientific community on climate change science.

    • climat (shared with the claim)
    • chang (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.433
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.433
    shared
    2
  2. #2evidence-1054845

    "The work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) represents the consensus of the international scientific community on climate change science.

    • climat (shared with the claim)
    • chang (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.433
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.433
    shared
    2
  3. #3evidence-914730

    When describing climate science, Hamilton says that official numbers published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are highly cautious, and so the real effects of climate change will likely be even more severe.

    • climat (shared with the claim)
    • chang (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.433
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.433
    shared
    2
  4. #4evidence-256037

    The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) produced two separate reports: Climate Change 2001: Mitigation and Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability

    • climat (shared with the claim)
    • chang (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.433
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.433
    shared
    2
  5. #5evidence-864757

    The governments of four countries (the gas/oil-producers USA, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait) blocked a proposal to welcome the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C at the 2018 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP24).

    • climat (shared with the claim)
    • chang (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.433
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.433
    shared
    2
  6. #6evidence-675527

    As stated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the largest contributor to global warming is the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO) since 1750, particularly from fossil fuel combustion, cement production, and land use changes such as deforestation.

    • chang (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.295
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.295
    shared
    1

Gold evidence (2)

  1. evidence-857269

    It is also predicted that Greenland will become warm enough by 2100 to begin an almost complete melt during the next 1,000 years or more.

    • almost
    • begin
    • enough
    • melt
    • next
    • warm
    • predict (shared with the claim)
    • greenland (shared with the claim)
  2. evidence-797161

    "Greenland enters melt mode".

    • melt
    • greenland (shared with the claim)
    • enter
    • mode