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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-2577 · #88 of 154

“"Three recent articles give us reason to question the alarmists’ claims that coral reefs are in deep trouble due to the buildup of greenhouse gases." (World Climate Report)”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • alarmist
  • articl
  • buildup
  • claim
  • climat
  • coral
  • deep
  • due
  • gase
  • give
  • greenhous
  • question
  • reason
  • recent
  • reef
  • report
  • three
  • troubl
  • us
  • world

Annotators’ label

Not enough info Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
15.6%
Refutes
3.3%
Not enough info
74.4%
Disputed
6.7%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
24.4%
Refutes
5.2%
Not enough info
56.4%
Disputed
14.0%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
19.8%
Refutes
3.8%
Not enough info
68.8%
Disputed
7.6%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 5 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-614906

    In Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) Volume 1, released in October 2017, entitled "Climate Science Special Report" (CSSR), researchers reported that "it is extremely likely that human activities, especially emissions of greenhouse gases, are the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century.

    • climat (shared with the claim)
    • report (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.481
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.481
    shared
    2
  2. #2evidence-82716

    Thaman doesn't give us a Champakamala or a Chulbuli.

    • give (shared with the claim)
    • محمد
    • us (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.469
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.135
    shared
    2
  3. #3evidence-832819

    In an article in "American Thinker", he complains about bad arguments used by the "deniers," saying that "Climate deniers are giving us skeptics a bad name.

    • give (shared with the claim)
    • argument
    • complain
    • articl (shared with the claim)
    • say
    • bad
    • climat (shared with the claim)
    • skeptic
    • us (shared with the claim)
    • thinker
    cos
    0.695
    overlap
    0.400
    score
    1.095
    shared
    4
  4. #4evidence-43067

    Lewis 's claim has only recently {When?}

    • claim (shared with the claim)
    • recent (shared with the claim)
    • lewi
    cos
    0.346
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.013
    shared
    2
  5. #5evidence-317870

    Minolops corallina, common name the coral red top shell, is a species of sea snail, a marine gastropod mollusk in the family Solariellidae.

    • coral (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.000
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.000
    shared
    1
  6. #6evidence-91407

    The summit of Turbacz has a subarctic climate (Köppen Dfc) due to its elevation.

    • due (shared with the claim)
    • climat (shared with the claim)
    • elev
    • summit
    cos
    0.481
    overlap
    0.500
    score
    0.981
    shared
    2

Gold evidence (5)

  1. evidence-663642

    Greenhouse gas emissions present a broader threat through sea temperature rise and sea level rise, though corals adapt their calcifying fluids to changes in seawater pH and carbonate levels and are not directly threatened by ocean acidification.

    • level
    • seawat
    • sea
    • broader
    • rise
    • acidif
  2. evidence-463557

    In November 2017, a second warning to humanity signed by 15,364 scientists from 184 countries stated that "the current trajectory of potentially catastrophic climate change due to rising greenhouse gases from burning fossil fuels, deforestation, and agricultural production – particularly from farming ruminants for meat consumption" is "especially troubling".

    • meat
    • warn
    • catastroph
    • trajectori
    • deforest
    • troubl (shared with the claim)
  3. evidence-469998

    The atmosphere and ocean have warmed, the amounts of snow and ice have diminished, sea level has risen, and the concentrations of greenhouse gases have increased "Myths vs. Facts: Denial of Petitions for Reconsideration of the Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act".

    • gase (shared with the claim)
    • denial
    • risen
    • greenhou
    • diminish
  4. evidence-511848

    It is "extremely likely" that this warming arises from "human activities, especially emissions of greenhouse gases" in the atmosphere.

    • atmosph
    • gase (shared with the claim)
    • greenhou
    • extrem
    • ari
  5. evidence-338219

    While ‘climate change’ can be due to natural forces or human activity, there is now substantial evidence to indicate that human activity – and specifically increased greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions – is a key factor in the pace and extent of global temperature increases.

    • human
    • ghg
    • pace
    • increa
    • activ