Dev claim · claim-2236 · #108 of 154
“The majority of peer reviewed research at the time predicted warming due to increasing CO2.”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- due
- increas
- major
- peer
- predict
- research
- review
- time
- warm
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 28.3%
- Refutes
- 7.8%
- Not enough info
- 54.1%
- Disputed
- 9.9%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 40.0%
- Refutes
- 13.6%
- Not enough info
- 35.6%
- Disputed
- 10.7%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 62.5%
- Refutes
- 27.2%
- Not enough info
- 1.2%
- Disputed
- 9.0%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 1 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-748778 Reviews in American History is a quarterly peer-reviewed academic journal established in 1973 and published by the Johns Hopkins University Press.
- review (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.446
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.446
- shared
- 1
#2evidence-938221 He was then due for review in April 2018.
- due (shared with the claim)
- review (shared with the claim)
- april
- cos
- 0.520
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.186
- shared
- 2
#3evidence-10408 Review of Research in Education is a peer-reviewed academic journal published by Sage Publications on behalf of the American Educational Research Association.
- research (shared with the claim)
- review (shared with the claim)
- educ
- cos
- 0.506
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.172
- shared
- 2
#4evidence-358132 State and Local Government Review is a quarterly, peer-reviewed, academic journal on public administration.
- review (shared with the claim)
- peer (shared with the claim)
- quarterli
- cos
- 0.446
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.113
- shared
- 2
#5evidence-873135 Energy and Environmental Science is a monthly peer-reviewed scientific journal publishing original (primary) research and review articles.
- review (shared with the claim)
- peer (shared with the claim)
- monthli
- cos
- 0.446
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.113
- shared
- 2
#6evidence-188059 The researchers predicted:
- research (shared with the claim)
- محمد
- predict (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.371
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.038
- shared
- 2
Gold evidence (1)
evidence-976285 A survey of peer-reviewed scientific papers published between 1965 and 1979 shows that the large majority of research at the time predicted that the earth would warm as carbon-dioxide levels rose — as indeed it has."
- rose
- survey
- peer (shared with the claim)
- dioxid
- predict (shared with the claim)
- ind
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Second opinion from an LLM
The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.
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