Dev claim · claim-1515 · #47 of 154
“no one really knows if last year 2016 was a global temperature record.”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- global
- know
- last
- one
- realli
- record
- temperatur
- year
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 59.4%
- Refutes
- 34.8%
- Not enough info
- 0.2%
- Disputed
- 5.6%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 52.4%
- Refutes
- 40.0%
- Not enough info
- 4.4%
- Disputed
- 3.2%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 56.4%
- Refutes
- 18.4%
- Not enough info
- 9.2%
- Disputed
- 16.0%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 5 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-690679 "2014 one of the warmest years on record globally".
- one (shared with the claim)
- warmest
- global (shared with the claim)
- year (shared with the claim)
- record (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.770
- overlap
- 0.800
- score
- 1.570
- shared
- 4
Gold evidence (5)
evidence-915569 Global warming is the long-term rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate system.
- warm
- averag
- earth
- temperatur (shared with the claim)
- rise
evidence-742898 In the scientific literature, there is an overwhelming consensus that global surface temperatures have increased in recent decades and that the trend is caused mainly by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases.
- induc
- overwhelm
- consensu
evidence-730599 This allows a temperature record to be constructed.
- temperatur (shared with the claim)
- allow
- construct
- record (shared with the claim)
evidence-169703 But we know the last time the world was 2 degrees warmer, sea level was 6 meters or 20 feet higher."
- know (shared with the claim)
- degr
- higher
- sea
- feet
- warmer
- meter
evidence-64048 "Breaking global temperature records after Mt.
- break
- temperatur (shared with the claim)
- mt
- global (shared with the claim)
- record (shared with the claim)