Dev claim · claim-1490 · #31 of 154
“the concentration of carbon dioxide in Earth’s atmosphere has climbed to a level last seen more than 3 million years ago — before humans even appeared on the rocky ball we call home.”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- ago
- appear
- atmospher
- ball
- call
- carbon
- climb
- concentr
- dioxid
- earth
- even
- home
- human
- last
- level
- million
- rocki
- seen
- year
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 42.7%
- Refutes
- 14.0%
- Not enough info
- 31.8%
- Disputed
- 11.4%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 44.4%
- Refutes
- 16.0%
- Not enough info
- 28.7%
- Disputed
- 10.9%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 61.8%
- Refutes
- 25.1%
- Not enough info
- 2.1%
- Disputed
- 11.0%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 1 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-1164150 It lasted from 235 to 228.4 million years ago (Ma).
- ago (shared with the claim)
- million (shared with the claim)
- year (shared with the claim)
- last (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.467
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.467
- shared
- 4
#2evidence-539255 The Tremadocian lasted from to million years ago.
- year (shared with the claim)
- million (shared with the claim)
- last (shared with the claim)
- ago (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.467
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.467
- shared
- 4
#3evidence-321984 Its last appearance on the hustings was 1963.
- appear (shared with the claim)
- last (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.387
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.387
- shared
- 2
#4evidence-1196424 Carbon dioxide is colorless.
- dioxid (shared with the claim)
- carbon (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.320
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.320
- shared
- 2
#5evidence-862879 He had jilted even Merlin.
- even (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.306
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.306
- shared
- 1
#6evidence-597214 It was certified triple platinum by the Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA) for three million units shipped in the United States and has sold over 15 million copies worldwide, becoming one of the best-selling albums during the 2000s century.
- million (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.292
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.292
- shared
- 1
Gold evidence (1)
evidence-551522 The National Geographic wrote that the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is this high "for the first time in 55 years of measurement—and probably more than 3 million years of Earth history."
- concentr (shared with the claim)
- dioxid (shared with the claim)
- probabl
- geograph
- year (shared with the claim)