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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-988 · #135 of 154

“The unlikely scenarios are now, all of a sudden, becoming more probable than they once were thought to be,’ says Sweet.””

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • becom
  • probabl
  • say
  • scenario
  • sudden
  • sweet
  • thought
  • unlik

Annotators’ label

Not enough info Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
9.9%
Refutes
2.5%
Not enough info
84.5%
Disputed
3.1%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
22.3%
Refutes
5.2%
Not enough info
59.0%
Disputed
13.5%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
22.7%
Refutes
6.0%
Not enough info
61.4%
Disputed
9.8%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 5 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-1089290

    It has become the cornerstone of redevelopment in Tremé.

    • redevelop
    • becom (shared with the claim)
    cos
    1.000
    overlap
    0.500
    score
    1.500
    shared
    1
  2. #2evidence-854094

    Becoming the Vice Chancellor Commandant of the General Sir John Kotelawala Defence University, he was tipped to become the Deputy Chief of Staff of the Sri Lanka Army.

    • tip
    • becom (shared with the claim)
    • chancellor
    cos
    1.000
    overlap
    0.333
    score
    1.333
    shared
    1
  3. #3evidence-638639

    The film received positive reviews from critics, praising Sai Dharma Tej 's performance whilst also becoming a commercial success, eventually becoming the biggest grosser in his career.

    • dharma
    • becom (shared with the claim)
    • sai
    cos
    1.000
    overlap
    0.333
    score
    1.333
    shared
    1
  4. #4evidence-253490

    After being a trade-unionist at the Poste, he becomes conseiller général for the Socialist Party in a Marseille canton and maire-adjoint in a Marseille secteur in 2001, then he is elected member of the National Assembly of France on June 17, 2007 with 57.41 % of votes (25.85 % at the first round), so becoming one out of three metropolitan deputies with non-European family roots.

    • marseil
    • unionist
    • becom (shared with the claim)
    cos
    1.000
    overlap
    0.333
    score
    1.333
    shared
    1
  5. #5evidence-785561

    with other finalist Bjørn Johan Muri becoming runner-up.

    • johan
    • becom (shared with the claim)
    • finalist
    • runner
    cos
    1.000
    overlap
    0.250
    score
    1.250
    shared
    1
  6. #6evidence-434537

    In 1972 Christiania Spigerverk fusioned with Elkem, to become Elkem Spigerverket.

    • fusion
    • محمد
    • becom (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.913
    overlap
    0.333
    score
    1.246
    shared
    1

Gold evidence (5)

  1. evidence-305696

    In recent decades, a few specialists have continued to support this interpretation, and Peter Schrijver has said that 'to a large extent, it is linguistics that is responsible for thinking in terms of drastic scenarios' about demographic change in late Roman Britain.

    • britain
    • interpret
    • linguist
    • drastic
    • demograph
    • think
    • extent
    • specialist
    • scenario (shared with the claim)
  2. evidence-444836

    Many feasible scenarios can be constructed to account for evidence.

    • feasibl
    • construct
    • mani
    • evid
    • account
    • scenario (shared with the claim)
  3. evidence-108865

    Therefore, scenarios that are not justified by other evidence or are created to account for the historical evidence have not been universally accepted.

    • histor
    • therefor
    • evid
    • accept
    • account
    • justifi
    • univ
    • creat
    • scenario (shared with the claim)
  4. evidence-44133

    The reverse possibility, that a small group broke off and wandered from India into Western Asia is readily dismissed as an improbably long migration, again without the least bit of evidence.

    • asia
    • broke
    • readili
    • bit
    • evid
    • dismiss
    • wander
    • migrat
    • rever
  5. evidence-459314

    On the contrary, there are reasons to believe that this is altogether out of the question."

    • محمد
    • believ
    • altogeth
    • question
    • reason
    • contrari

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Second opinion from an LLM

The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.

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