Dev claim · claim-846 · #123 of 154
“In other words, we have, trapped in Arctic permafrost, twice as much carbon as is currently wrecking the atmosphere of the planet, all of it scheduled to be released at a date that keeps getting moved up, partially in the form of a gas that multiplies its warming power 86 times over.”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- arctic
- atmospher
- carbon
- current
- date
- form
- ga
- get
- keep
- move
- much
- multipli
- partial
- permafrost
- planet
- power
- releas
- schedul
- time
- trap
- twice
- warm
- word
- wreck
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 22.4%
- Refutes
- 6.0%
- Not enough info
- 63.9%
- Disputed
- 7.7%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 36.4%
- Refutes
- 10.4%
- Not enough info
- 40.3%
- Disputed
- 12.8%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 51.7%
- Refutes
- 15.4%
- Not enough info
- 20.1%
- Disputed
- 12.9%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 3 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-894957 Songs Not to Get Married To is the fourth studio album by American rock band Reggie and the Full Effect.
- get (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.340
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.340
- shared
- 1
#2evidence-825299 In 2014, President Barack Obama proposed a series of Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regulations, known as the Clean Power Plan that would reduce carbon pollution from coal-fired power plants.
- power (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.300
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.300
- shared
- 1
#3evidence-374210 In other words, it is a sequence of the form
- form (shared with the claim)
- word (shared with the claim)
- sequenc
- cos
- 0.425
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.092
- shared
- 2
#4evidence-98712 Much of this time has been on a houseboat.
- much (shared with the claim)
- محمد
- time (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.391
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.057
- shared
- 2
#5evidence-332004 It was formed in 1949 in Changchun and was moved to Jilin in 1955.
- form (shared with the claim)
- move (shared with the claim)
- محمد
- cos
- 0.384
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.051
- shared
- 2
#6evidence-72593 The word is formed from two words.
- form (shared with the claim)
- two
- word (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.364
- overlap
- 0.667
- score
- 1.030
- shared
- 2
Gold evidence (3)
evidence-1173602 Melting of this ice may release large quantities of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas into the atmosphere, causing further warming in a strong positive feedback cycle.
- melt
- strong
- methan
- feedback
- cycl
- greenhou
- quantiti
evidence-769821 Release of methane and carbon dioxide stored in permafrost could cause abrupt and severe global warming, as they are potent greenhouse gases.
- gase
- potent
- dioxid
- abrupt
- methan
- permafrost (shared with the claim)
- greenhou
evidence-94074 When the permafrost melts, it releases carbon in the form of carbon dioxide and methane, both of which are greenhouse gases.
- melt
- form (shared with the claim)
- gase
- dioxid
- methan
- permafrost (shared with the claim)
- carbon (shared with the claim)
- greenhou
Optional · uses your own API key
Second opinion from an LLM
The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.
Without a key nothing is sent anywhere. The rest of the site does not need one.