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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-665 · #147 of 154

“many scientists were surprised when other researchers subsequently found that ringed and bearded seals (the primary prey of polar bears) north of the Bering Strait especially thrived with a longer open-water season, which is particularly conducive to fishing”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • bear
  • beard
  • bere
  • conduc
  • especi
  • fish
  • found
  • longer
  • mani
  • north
  • open
  • particularli
  • polar
  • prey
  • primari
  • research
  • ring
  • scientist
  • seal
  • season
  • strait
  • subsequ
  • surpris
  • thrive
  • water

Annotators’ label

Not enough info Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
26.4%
Refutes
7.2%
Not enough info
57.6%
Disputed
8.8%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
38.3%
Refutes
11.5%
Not enough info
37.8%
Disputed
12.4%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
5.0%
Refutes
0.9%
Not enough info
91.5%
Disputed
2.7%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 5 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-1072890

    It can withhold up to 17350000 m3 of water.

    • water (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.295
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.295
    shared
    1
  2. #2evidence-757301

    Polygonium amphibum (water knotweed)

    • water (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.295
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.295
    shared
    1
  3. #3evidence-917162

    It can withhold up to 17980000 m3 of water.

    • water (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.295
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.295
    shared
    1
  4. #4evidence-173869

    2006 : Blóðbönd (Thicker than Water), as Ásta

    • water (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.295
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.295
    shared
    1
  5. #5evidence-205807

    The 2014 Connecticut Open (formerly known as the New Haven Open at Yale) was a tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.

    • open (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.286
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.286
    shared
    1
  6. #6evidence-985207

    Bar Point is a suburb of the Central Coast region of New South Wales, Australia, located on the north bank of the Hawkesbury River 53 km north of Sydney.

    • north (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.271
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.271
    shared
    1

Gold evidence (5)

  1. evidence-1105120

    Natural predators of the bearded seal include polar bears, who rely on these seals as a major food source.

    • reli
    • seal (shared with the claim)
    • major
    • natur
    • food
    • predat
    • beard (shared with the claim)
    • sourc
    • bear (shared with the claim)
    • polar (shared with the claim)
  2. evidence-143437

    The polar bear is the most carnivorous species of bear, and its diet primarily consists of ringed (Pusa hispida) and bearded (Erignathus barbatus) seals.

    • carnivor
    • seal (shared with the claim)
    • diet
    • beard (shared with the claim)
    • primarili
    • consist
    • ring (shared with the claim)
    • bear (shared with the claim)
    • polar (shared with the claim)
    • speci
  3. evidence-133419

    The polar bear is the most carnivorous member of the bear family, and throughout most of its range, its diet primarily consists of ringed (Pusa hispida) and bearded seals (Erignathus barbatus).

    • carnivor
    • seal (shared with the claim)
    • diet
    • throughout
    • rang
    • beard (shared with the claim)
    • primarili
    • ring (shared with the claim)
    • bear (shared with the claim)
    • polar (shared with the claim)
  4. evidence-726838

    The polar bear tends to frequent areas where sea ice meets water, such as polynyas and leads (temporary stretches of open water in Arctic ice), to hunt the seals that make up most of its diet.

    • temporari
    • ice
    • seal (shared with the claim)
    • diet
    • stretch
    • water (shared with the claim)
    • tend
    • polar (shared with the claim)
  5. evidence-578925

    Ringed seals are one of the primary prey of polar bears and killer whales, and have long been a component of the diet of indigenous people of the Arctic.

    • whale
    • seal (shared with the claim)
    • diet
    • killer
    • indigen
    • arctic
    • ring (shared with the claim)
    • polar (shared with the claim)
    • prey (shared with the claim)

Optional · uses your own API key

Second opinion from an LLM

The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.

Evidence to send

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