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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-492 · #115 of 154

“But like most claims regarding global warming, the real effect is small, probably temporary, and most likely due to natural weather patterns”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • claim
  • due
  • effect
  • global
  • like
  • like
  • natur
  • pattern
  • probabl
  • real
  • regard
  • small
  • temporari
  • warm
  • weather

Annotators’ label

Disputed Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
60.8%
Refutes
32.9%
Not enough info
0.3%
Disputed
6.0%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
52.8%
Refutes
37.6%
Not enough info
5.8%
Disputed
3.9%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Not enough info✗ differs from the label
Supports
12.2%
Refutes
2.9%
Not enough info
80.6%
Disputed
4.4%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 5 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-795930

    Like Eothyris, it was probably an insectivore.

    • like (shared with the claim)
    • probabl (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.582
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.582
    shared
    2

Gold evidence (5)

  1. evidence-896442

    The effects of climate change on human systems, mostly due to warming and shifts in precipitation, have been detected worldwide.

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • precipit
    • effect (shared with the claim)
    • mostli
    • detect
    • shift
    • worldwid
  2. evidence-504446

    Impacts include the direct effects of extreme weather, leading to injury and loss of life; and indirect effects, such as undernutrition brought on by crop failures.

    • injuri
    • indirect
    • weather (shared with the claim)
    • brought
    • effect (shared with the claim)
    • loss
    • failur
    • crop
    • extrem
  3. evidence-128422

    The slower pace of warming can be attributed to a combination of natural fluctuations, reduced solar activity, and increased volcanic activity.

    • volcan
    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • attribut
    • fluctuat
    • pace
    • slower
    • reduc
    • combin
    • activ
    • solar
  4. evidence-479999

    Climate change may be due to natural internal processes or external forcings such as modulations of the solar cycles, volcanic eruptions and persistent anthropogenic changes in the composition of the atmosphere or in land use."

    • volcan
    • anthropogen
    • chang
    • persist
    • modul
    • erupt
    • extern
    • composit
  5. evidence-1091550

    The effects of global warming include rising sea levels, regional changes in precipitation, more frequent extreme weather events such as heat waves, and expansion of deserts.

    • precipit
    • desert

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Second opinion from an LLM

The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.

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