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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-375 · #2 of 154

“when 3 per cent of total annual global emissions of carbon dioxide are from humans and Australia prod­uces 1.3 per cent of this 3 per cent, then no amount of emissions reductio­n here will have any effect on global climate.”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • amount
  • annual
  • australia
  • carbon
  • cent
  • cent
  • cent
  • climat
  • dioxid
  • effect
  • emiss
  • emiss
  • global
  • global
  • human
  • per
  • per
  • per
  • total

Annotators’ label

Not enough info Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
55.8%
Refutes
27.5%
Not enough info
9.4%
Disputed
7.4%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
54.1%
Refutes
29.0%
Not enough info
10.7%
Disputed
6.1%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
4.1%
Refutes
0.7%
Not enough info
92.9%
Disputed
2.4%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 5 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-1207394

    It was 10 per cent of Sinebrychoff 's total annual production.

    • annual (shared with the claim)
    • per (shared with the claim)
    • product
    • total (shared with the claim)
    • cent (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.573
    overlap
    0.800
    score
    1.373
    shared
    4
  2. #2evidence-631053

    per year, or 2% of all annual global CO-eq emissions.

    • annual (shared with the claim)
    • per (shared with the claim)
    • emiss (shared with the claim)
    • co
    • global (shared with the claim)
    • year
    cos
    0.640
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.306
    shared
    4

Gold evidence (5)

  1. evidence-996421

    The 2011 UNEP Green Economy report states that "[a]agricultural operations, excluding land use changes, produce approximately 13 per cent of anthropogenic global GHG emissions.

    • anthropogen
    • ghg
    • unep
    • cent (shared with the claim)
    • exclud
  2. evidence-1080858

    With a market share of 30% and (potentially) clean electricity, heat pumps could reduce global CO 2 emissions by 8% annually.

    • heat
    • electr
    • pump
    • emiss (shared with the claim)
    • share
    • reduc
    • clean
    • potenti
  3. evidence-208053

    In the modern era, emissions to the atmosphere from volcanoes are approximately 0.645 billion tonnes of CO 2 per year, whereas humans contribute 29 billion tonnes of CO 2 each year.

    • atmosph
    • tonn
    • era
    • volcano
    • billion
    • emiss (shared with the claim)
    • co
    • wherea
    • year
  4. evidence-699212

    Cumulative anthropogenic (i.e., human-emitted) emissions of CO 2 from fossil fuel use are a major cause of global warming, and give some indication of which countries have contributed most to human-induced climate change.

    • human (shared with the claim)
    • anthropogen
    • cumul
    • fossil
    • induc
    • indic
    • emit
  5. evidence-832334

    Other countries with fast growing emissions are South Korea, Iran, and Australia (which apart from the oil rich Persian Gulf states, now has the highest percapita emission rate in the world).

    • rich
    • fast
    • emiss (shared with the claim)
    • gulf
    • korea
    • apart
    • persian
    • oil