Dev claim · claim-349 · #139 of 154
“Nor is there evidence of an increase in floods globally.”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- evid
- flood
- global
- increas
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 53.9%
- Refutes
- 17.4%
- Not enough info
- 18.4%
- Disputed
- 10.3%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 42.2%
- Refutes
- 12.3%
- Not enough info
- 32.6%
- Disputed
- 12.9%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 61.7%
- Refutes
- 30.9%
- Not enough info
- 0.5%
- Disputed
- 6.9%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 2 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-1198843 Within scientific journals, global warming refers to surface temperature increases while climate change includes global warming and everything else that increasing greenhouse gas levels affect.
- warm
- everyth
- global (shared with the claim)
- increa
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.250
- score
- 1.250
- shared
- 1
#2evidence-1092520 The EPA has determined that greenhouse gas pollution causes global temperature warming, leading to harmful changes to the environment and human health globally such as increased drought and increased famine due to decrease in water supply and agricultural production.
- increa
- famin
- epa
- global (shared with the claim)
- drought
- harm
- cos
- 1.000
- overlap
- 0.250
- score
- 1.250
- shared
- 1
#3evidence-689266 There are global fora on landscapes.
- global (shared with the claim)
- landscap
- cos
- 0.718
- overlap
- 0.500
- score
- 1.218
- shared
- 1
#4evidence-323590 The total increase in global warming for the century should be ~0.3 °C, rather than the catastrophic warming of 3-6°C (4-11°F) predicted by the IPCC.
- warm
- catastroph
- increa
- predict
- total
- ipcc
- rather
- global (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.833
- overlap
- 0.250
- score
- 1.083
- shared
- 1
#5evidence-537951 Total global greenhouse gas emissions increased 12.7% between 2000 and 2005.
- emiss
- increa
- total
- ga
- greenhou
- global (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.833
- overlap
- 0.250
- score
- 1.083
- shared
- 1
#6evidence-1166990 Global warming has increased encounters between polar bears and humans.
- human
- warm
- encount
- increa
- global (shared with the claim)
- bear
- polar
- cos
- 0.825
- overlap
- 0.250
- score
- 1.075
- shared
- 1
Gold evidence (2)
evidence-323541 With the increase in temperatures worldwide due to climate change the increase in flooding is unavoidable.
- fanci
- chang
- increa
- due
- temperatur
- climat
- flood (shared with the claim)
- worldwid
evidence-636631 Widespread coastal flooding is expected with several degrees of warming sustained for millennia.
- warm
- degr
- sever
- widespread
- محمد
- millennia
- expect
- flood (shared with the claim)
- coastal
- sustain
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Second opinion from an LLM
The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.
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