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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-281 · #130 of 154

“In an interview with the BBC after the scandal broke, Dr Jones admitted there had been no statistically significant global warming since 1995”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • admit
  • bbc
  • broke
  • dr
  • global
  • interview
  • jone
  • scandal
  • signific
  • sinc
  • statist
  • warm

Annotators’ label

Disputed Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
60.2%
Refutes
33.7%
Not enough info
0.5%
Disputed
5.7%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
53.4%
Refutes
37.6%
Not enough info
5.2%
Disputed
3.7%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
40.9%
Refutes
10.6%
Not enough info
35.1%
Disputed
13.4%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 3 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-1172406

    Since then a global Lego subculture has developed.

    • develop
    • global (shared with the claim)
    • sinc (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.562
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.229
    shared
    2

Gold evidence (3)

  1. evidence-18549

    The American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) reaffirmed its position on global warming and "expressed grave concerns that the illegal release of private emails stolen from the University of East Anglia should not cause policy-makers and the public to become confused about the scientific basis of global climate change.

    • stolen
    • global (shared with the claim)
    • anglia
    • aaa
  2. evidence-298772

    In late 2011, Steven F. Hayward wrote that "Climategate did for the global warming controversy what the Pentagon Papers did for the Vietnam war 40 years ago: It changed the narrative decisively."

    • hayward
    • pentagon
    • steven
    • controversi
    • ago
    • vietnam
    • narr
  3. evidence-509654

    Here is the quote: "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't."

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • lack
    • quot
    • moment
    • fact
    • account

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Second opinion from an LLM

The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.

Evidence to send

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