Dev claim · claim-2579 · #66 of 154
“Over the past 250 years, humans have added just one part of CO2 in 10,000 to the atmosphere.”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- ad
- atmospher
- human
- one
- part
- past
- year
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 60.3%
- Refutes
- 32.5%
- Not enough info
- 0.9%
- Disputed
- 6.3%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 53.3%
- Refutes
- 37.0%
- Not enough info
- 5.9%
- Disputed
- 3.8%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 45.0%
- Refutes
- 12.5%
- Not enough info
- 27.1%
- Disputed
- 15.3%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 3 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-276307 one of the years 77 BC, AD 77, 1977, 2077
- one (shared with the claim)
- year (shared with the claim)
- ad (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.757
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.757
- shared
- 3
#2evidence-268246 one of the years 79 BC, AD 79, 1979, 2079
- one (shared with the claim)
- year (shared with the claim)
- ad (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.757
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.757
- shared
- 3
#3evidence-777071 one of the years 10 BC, AD 10, 1910 or 2010
- one (shared with the claim)
- year (shared with the claim)
- ad (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.757
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.757
- shared
- 3
#4evidence-310722 one of the years 75 BC, AD 75, 1975, 2075
- one (shared with the claim)
- year (shared with the claim)
- ad (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.757
- overlap
- 1.000
- score
- 1.757
- shared
- 3
Gold evidence (3)
evidence-861762 Global annual mean CO 2 concentration has increased by more than 45% since the start of the Industrial Revolution, from 280 ppm during the 10,000 years up to the mid-18th century to 415 ppm as of May 2019.
- annual
- mid
- concentr
- increa
- mean
- revolut
- global
- ppm
evidence-788947 Carbon dioxide mole fractions in the atmosphere have gone up by approximately 35 percent since the 1900s, rising from 280 parts per million by volume to 387 parts per million in 2009.
- mole
- fraction
- gone
- per
- percent
- dioxid
- part (shared with the claim)
- million
evidence-252580 Since the time of the Industrial Revolution about 200 years ago, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased from about 280 parts per million to 370 parts per million, an increase of around 30%.
- per
- part (shared with the claim)
- increa
- ago
- million