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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-2062 · #27 of 154

“Global warming is increasing the magnitude and frequency of droughts and floods.”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • drought
  • flood
  • frequenc
  • global
  • increas
  • magnitud
  • warm

Annotators’ label

Supports Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Not enough info✗ differs from the label
Supports
8.1%
Refutes
1.7%
Not enough info
87.4%
Disputed
2.7%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Not enough info✗ differs from the label
Supports
14.4%
Refutes
1.9%
Not enough info
68.2%
Disputed
15.5%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Supports✓ matches the label
Supports
60.0%
Refutes
21.4%
Not enough info
5.6%
Disputed
13.0%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 3 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-363469

    The issues surrounding global warming commonly included are emissions and the emission of other greenhouse gases, the melting of the polar ice caps, sea-level rise, natural disasters and massive changes to lifestyles caused by global warming.

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • global (shared with the claim)
    • emiss
    cos
    0.718
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.385
    shared
    2
  2. #2evidence-407459

    The Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, or Assembly Bill (AB) 32, is a California State Law that fights global warming by establishing a comprehensive program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from all sources throughout the state.

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • global (shared with the claim)
    • ab
    cos
    0.718
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.385
    shared
    2
  3. #3evidence-453529

    The warming has not been globally uniform.

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • global (shared with the claim)
    • uniform
    cos
    0.718
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.385
    shared
    2
  4. #4evidence-35625

    The global warming debate is over.

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • debat
    • global (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.718
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.385
    shared
    2
  5. #5evidence-1188759

    The issues particular to a global warming video game are usually energy efficiency and the implementation of green technology as ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and thus counteract global warming.

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • effici
    • global (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.718
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.385
    shared
    2
  6. #6evidence-614890

    Subtitled "The world-renowned scientists who stood up against global warming hysteria, political persecution, and fraud," the book draws attention to a number of scientists and others who, according to Solomon, have advanced arguments against what he calls the "alarmist" view of global warming, as presented by Al Gore, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the mainstream media, and others.

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • global (shared with the claim)
    • scientist
    cos
    0.718
    overlap
    0.667
    score
    1.385
    shared
    2

Gold evidence (3)

  1. evidence-657110

    Climate change also increases droughts and heat waves that inhibit plant growth, which makes it uncertain whether this balancing feedback will persist in the future.

    • inhibit
    • balanc
    • persist
    • uncertain
    • whether
    • feedback
    • wave
    • drought (shared with the claim)
  2. evidence-553897

    The maximum rainfall and wind speed from hurricanes and typhoons are likely increasing.

    • like
    • typhoon
    • maximum
    • increa
    • hurrican
    • speed
    • rainfal
    • wind
  3. evidence-1091550

    The effects of global warming include rising sea levels, regional changes in precipitation, more frequent extreme weather events such as heat waves, and expansion of deserts.

    • precipit
    • desert