Dev claim · claim-2060 · #55 of 154
“Global warming is causing more hurricanes and stronger hurricanes.”
Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)
- caus
- global
- hurrican
- hurrican
- stronger
- warm
The model’s verdict
The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.
Notebook protocol
Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.
- Supports
- 61.9%
- Refutes
- 28.7%
- Not enough info
- 1.0%
- Disputed
- 8.4%
One claim at a time
The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.
- Supports
- 55.2%
- Refutes
- 32.6%
- Not enough info
- 7.6%
- Disputed
- 4.7%
With gold evidence
Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.
- Supports
- 62.3%
- Refutes
- 25.6%
- Not enough info
- 2.2%
- Disputed
- 9.9%
Retrieved vs gold evidence
Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.
2024 submission
The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.
- Path
- not recorded
- Found
- 0 of 2 gold
- P
- 0.00
- R
- 0.00
- F
- 0.00
#1evidence-415989 In his book Storm World: Hurricanes, Politics, and the Battle over Global Warming, Chris Mooney discusses tensions between two different approaches to analyzing global warming and its effect on hurricanes.
- warm (shared with the claim)
- analyz
- chri
- mooney
- hurrican (shared with the claim)
- tension
- storm
- global (shared with the claim)
- cos
- 0.709
- overlap
- 0.600
- score
- 1.309
- shared
- 3
Gold evidence (2)
evidence-553897 The maximum rainfall and wind speed from hurricanes and typhoons are likely increasing.
- like
- typhoon
- maximum
- increa
- hurrican (shared with the claim)
- speed
- rainfal
- wind
evidence-8304 As the Earth's climate warms, we are seeing many changes: stronger, more destructive hurricanes; heavier rainfall; more disastrous flooding; more areas of the world experiencing severe drought; and more heat waves."
- heavier
- disastr
- hurrican (shared with the claim)
- rainfal
- stronger (shared with the claim)
- destruct
- drought
- experienc