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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-1467 · #118 of 154

“The amount of carbon dioxide absorbed by the upper layer of the oceans is increasing by about 2 billion tons per year.”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • absorb
  • amount
  • billion
  • carbon
  • dioxid
  • increas
  • layer
  • ocean
  • per
  • ton
  • upper
  • year

Annotators’ label

Not enough info Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
60.1%
Refutes
31.1%
Not enough info
0.8%
Disputed
7.9%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Supports✗ differs from the label
Supports
53.2%
Refutes
34.1%
Not enough info
8.0%
Disputed
4.6%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Not enough info✓ matches the label
Supports
34.3%
Refutes
10.1%
Not enough info
44.7%
Disputed
10.9%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
1 of 5 gold
P
1.00
R
0.20
F
0.33
  1. #1evidence-425667 gold evidence

    Human activities emit about 29 billion tons of carbon dioxide per year, while volcanoes emit between 0.2 and 0.3 billion tons.

    • volcano
    • ton (shared with the claim)
    • per (shared with the claim)
    • billion (shared with the claim)
    • dioxid (shared with the claim)
    • carbon (shared with the claim)
    • emit
    cos
    0.601
    overlap
    0.714
    score
    1.315
    shared
    5

Gold evidence (5)

  1. evidence-425667

    Human activities emit about 29 billion tons of carbon dioxide per year, while volcanoes emit between 0.2 and 0.3 billion tons.

    • volcano
    • ton (shared with the claim)
    • per (shared with the claim)
    • billion (shared with the claim)
    • dioxid (shared with the claim)
    • carbon (shared with the claim)
    • emit
  2. evidence-956954

    The oceans act as an enormous carbon sink, and have taken up about a third of CO 2 emitted by human activity.

    • human
    • enorm
    • act
    • taken
    • co
    • sink
    • carbon (shared with the claim)
    • ocean (shared with the claim)
    • emit
  3. evidence-923136

    As the concentration of carbon dioxide increases in the atmosphere, the increased uptake of carbon dioxide into the oceans is causing a measurable decrease in the pH of the oceans, which is referred to as ocean acidification.

    • dioxid (shared with the claim)
    • uptak
    • increa
    • ph
    • decrea
    • carbon (shared with the claim)
    • ocean (shared with the claim)
    • acidif
  4. evidence-498380

    Current annual increase in atmospheric CO2 is approximately 4 gigatons of carbon.

    • atmosph
    • annual
    • increa
    • carbon (shared with the claim)
    • approxim
    • current
  5. evidence-257475

    Carbon dioxide is absorbed from the atmosphere at the ocean's surface at an exchange rate which varies locally but on average, the oceans have a net absorption of CO2 2.2 Pg C per year.

    • atmosph
    • vari
    • absorpt
    • exchang
    • dioxid (shared with the claim)
    • ocean (shared with the claim)
    • absorb (shared with the claim)
    • net

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Second opinion from an LLM

The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.

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