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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-1259 · #105 of 154

“While the north-east, midwest and upper great plains have experienced a 30% increase in heavy rainfall episodes – considered once-in-every-five year downpours – parts of the west, particularly California, have been parched by drought.”

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • california
  • consid
  • downpour
  • drought
  • east
  • episod
  • everi
  • experienc
  • five
  • great
  • heavi
  • increas
  • midwest
  • north
  • parch
  • part
  • particularli
  • plain
  • rainfal
  • upper
  • west
  • year

Annotators’ label

Supports Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Not enough info✗ differs from the label
Supports
20.6%
Refutes
5.5%
Not enough info
66.8%
Disputed
7.1%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Not enough info✗ differs from the label
Supports
37.1%
Refutes
10.6%
Not enough info
39.9%
Disputed
12.5%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Not enough info✗ differs from the label
Supports
35.0%
Refutes
10.3%
Not enough info
43.2%
Disputed
11.4%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 4 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-1131976

    To the east is North Witham, to the north, Stainby, and to the west, Sewstern.

    • west (shared with the claim)
    • north (shared with the claim)
    • east (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.448
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.448
    shared
    3
  2. #2evidence-1050158

    To the west are Kelvindale and Kelvinside, and to the east Firhill and Woodside.

    • west (shared with the claim)
    • east (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.371
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.371
    shared
    2
  3. #3evidence-1178609

    From east to west:

    • west (shared with the claim)
    • east (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.371
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.371
    shared
    2
  4. #4evidence-955866

    In the east, Awkuzu and in the west, Ogbunike.

    • west (shared with the claim)
    • east (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.371
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.371
    shared
    2
  5. #5evidence-27929

    ``Birthright'' is the 16th and 17th episodes of the sixth season of the American science fiction television series Star Trek : The Next Generation, the 142nd and 143rd episodes overall.

    • episod (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.290
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.290
    shared
    1
  6. #6evidence-1020454

    ``Starship Mine'' is the 144th episode of the American science fiction television series Star Trek : The Next Generation, the 18th episode of the sixth season.

    • episod (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.290
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.290
    shared
    1

Gold evidence (4)

  1. evidence-17722

    Water use and conservation in California is a politically divisive issue, as the state experiences periodic droughts and has to balance the demands of its large agricultural and urban sectors, especially in the arid southern portion of the state.

    • balanc
    • urban
    • state
    • portion
    • arid
    • demand
    • especi
    • sector
    • drought (shared with the claim)
  2. evidence-1023411

    The valley experienced a severe drought from 2011 to 2017.

    • valley
    • sever
    • drought (shared with the claim)
    • experienc (shared with the claim)
  3. evidence-443760

    By August 2014, a three-year drought was prompting changes to the agriculture industry in the valley.

    • drought (shared with the claim)
    • prompt
    • chang
    • industri
    • agricultur
    • august
    • valley
    • three
    • year (shared with the claim)
  4. evidence-948853

    Drought is much more common in the West than the rest of the United States.

    • much
    • rest
    • state
    • unit
    • west (shared with the claim)
    • common
    • drought (shared with the claim)