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Climate Claim Checker

Dev claim · claim-1021 · #154 of 154

“The corals may save themselves, as many other creatures are attempting to do, by moving toward the poles as the Earth warms, establishing new reefs in cooler water.””

Claim tags (sorted stems; highlighted when a passage shares them)

  • attempt
  • cooler
  • coral
  • creatur
  • earth
  • establish
  • mani
  • may
  • move
  • new
  • pole
  • reef
  • save
  • toward
  • warm
  • water

Annotators’ label

Supports Run this claim live

The model’s verdict

The Transformer retrained from the notebook (the 2024 weights were never saved), shown three ways. The first is how the notebook evaluated it.

Notebook protocol

Dev claims predicted in batches of 16, in file order, from the 2024 retrieved evidence, as the notebook does.

Supports✓ matches the label
Supports
61.4%
Refutes
25.9%
Not enough info
3.1%
Disputed
9.6%

One claim at a time

The same model run on a single claim, which is how the Try-it page runs it.

Supports✓ matches the label
Supports
54.1%
Refutes
30.0%
Not enough info
10.2%
Disputed
5.6%

With gold evidence

Fed the human-annotated evidence instead of retrieved passages. This is the 'val accuracy' the training loop reports.

Supports✓ matches the label
Supports
61.1%
Refutes
19.5%
Not enough info
5.1%
Disputed
14.3%

Retrieved vs gold evidence

Gold passages were picked by the dataset’s annotators. Retrieved passages are what the TF-IDF rule returned from all 1.19M passages. Switch between the submitted 2024 output and the re-runs.

2024 submission

The passages the team actually retrieved and submitted in 2024 (their saved output file). The file records only passage ids, so scores are recomputed with the submission rule.

Path
not recorded
Found
0 of 2 gold
P
0.00
R
0.00
F
0.00
  1. #1evidence-88538

    Klamath was established on May 6, 1905.

    • establish (shared with the claim)
    • may (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.432
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.432
    shared
    2
  2. #2evidence-960532

    The Palmach was established on 15 May 1941.

    • establish (shared with the claim)
    • may (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.432
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.432
    shared
    2
  3. #3evidence-1072890

    It can withhold up to 17350000 m3 of water.

    • water (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.327
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.327
    shared
    1
  4. #4evidence-757301

    Polygonium amphibum (water knotweed)

    • water (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.327
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.327
    shared
    1
  5. #5evidence-917162

    It can withhold up to 17980000 m3 of water.

    • water (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.327
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.327
    shared
    1
  6. #6evidence-173869

    2006 : Blóðbönd (Thicker than Water), as Ásta

    • water (shared with the claim)
    cos
    0.327
    overlap
    1.000
    score
    1.327
    shared
    1

Gold evidence (2)

  1. evidence-242575

    The poleward migration of coral species refers to the phenomenon brought on by rising sea temperatures, wherein corals are colonising cooler climates in an attempt to circumvent coral bleaching, rising sea levels and ocean acidification.

    • sea
    • cooler (shared with the claim)
    • wherein
    • bleach
    • rise
    • coral (shared with the claim)
    • acidif
  2. evidence-1175280

    One way, however, that corals "might escape ocean warming, is to migrate into cooler waters."

    • warm (shared with the claim)
    • way
    • might
    • cooler (shared with the claim)
    • howev
    • escap
    • migrat
    • coral (shared with the claim)
    • ocean

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Second opinion from an LLM

The model reads this claim and the evidence passages shown on this page, picks one of the four verdicts and cites the passages it used. It is told to judge from the passages only. You review the answer; the call and your decision go to the AI audit log in this browser.

Evidence to send

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